Ageing Population Projections

Of the seven Statistical Local Areas (SLAs) in the City of Onkaparinga, the highest proportion of people over 50 years is currently in the North Coast SLA (37.7%), followed by the Hills SLA (36.0%) and Morphett SLA (33.4%). By 2021 all SLAs are expected to have between 36.8% and 44.5% of their populations aged 50 years and over. The table below shows aged population projections from 2006 to 2021.

Population over 50 years

	*2006		**2011		**2016		**2021
Statistical Local Areas	No.	% of total population	No.	% of total population	No.	% of total population	No.	% of total population
Hackham	4,048	29.5%	4,782	32.9%	5,291	35.9%	5,666	37.9%
Hills	4,073	36.0%	4,913	38.7%	5,773	40.5%	6,567	41.3%
Morphett	7,699	33.4%	9,018	37.6%	9,804	41.2%	10,524	44.5%
North Coast	6,492	37.7%	7,274	39.0%	7,569	39.9%	7,833	40.8%
Reservoir	7,233	29.0%	9,813	37.2%	11,010	41.5%	11,756	44.2%
South Coast	7,550	30.1%	11,216	36.3%	14,241	40.8%	17,106	44.3%
Woodcroft	10,142	29.5%	11,471	31.1%	12,716	34.2%	13,717	36.8%
TOTAL	47,237	29.1%	58,487	35.6%	66,404	39.0%	73,169	41.5%

Source:

*ABS 2006 Census Community Profile Series for Onkaparinga Statistical Local Areas. Downloaded from www.abs.gov.au on 29 May 2009
**Planning SA Population Projection Enquiry System. Downloaded from www.planning.sa.gov.au on 3 April 2009

Facilities for Seniors

There are 35 Residential Aged Care facilities in the City of Onkaparinga, offering mixed care and accommodation options, including:

18 retirement villages consisting of independent units
5 retirement villages offering high and low care options
12 hostels and nursing homes with high and low care facilities.

There are also numerous private housing estates in the City of Onkaparinga, built for the seniors market. Accommodation options and a wide range of other services for seniors are listed in the City of Onkaparinga Seniors Guide, 2007 (available from the Council office, or online at www.onkaparingacity.com). The 2009 edition of the Seniors Guide should be published in spring.

Ageing Populations Comparison

It is anticipated that the City of Onkaparinga’s older population will increase from 2006 (31.7%) to 41.5% in 2021, which will be proportionally higher than the other areas listed in the table below for comparison. Currently Onkaparinga has a smaller over 50’s population than Marion and the Adelaide Statistical Division but this trend is predicted to reverse by 2016.

Percentage of Pupulation 50 years + Comparison

Source:

Planning SA Population Projection Enquiry System.
Downloaded from www.planning.sa.gov.au on 20 July 2009

Median Age

*In the 1950’s and 1960’s South Australia’s population was younger than that of the nation. However, as a result of lower fertility, disproportionately low migration gain and selective net loss to interstate, South Australia now has the oldest population of all the States and Territories. South Australia has a median age of 37.9 compared to 35.9 nationally and the proportion of its population aged 65 years or over stands at 14.7% compared to 12.7% nationally.

This ageing of the population is projected to continue. By 2050, 31.0% of the State’s population will be 65 years or over, more than twice the current figure. In the same time the over 85 population will increase four fold.

Source:

*State Government of South Australia, Department of Premier and Cabinet, ‘Prosperity through People. A population policy for South Australia’. March 2004. p.5

Median Age by Local Government Areas

Region	2006	2011	2016	2021
Adelaide Statistical Division	33.5%	35.5%	37.5%	39.1%
Marion LGA	35.4%	37.0%	38.2%	38.9%
Onkaparinga LGA	31.7%	35.6%	39.0%	41.5%
Playford LGA	26.5%	28.7%	30.7%	32.0%
Salisbury LGA	28.2%	31.1%	34.2%	36.8%

Source:

ABS Catalog 3218.0 Regional Population Growth, Australia, 2005-06.
Downloaded from www.abs.gov.au on 27 February 2007